And is our current economic growth rate too high or too low?
Historically, the East of England has "enjoyed" growth rates which have made us one of the three English regions with gross value added (GVA) per capita above the national average. However, with growth has come large-scale migration to the region, increasing housing demand, fuelling a dual fear of both homes becoming less and less affordable; and also of the concreting of parts of our countryside in an attempt to dramatically increase housing supply. This is an unsustainable "vicious circle" for those who sometimes seek to restrict growth in the region.Interestingly, though, this decade has seen the East of England grow slower than the national average in each of the last five years. The gap between our economic performance and that of London and the South East, and that of some of our international competitors has increased. This has neither diminished the continuing rise in housing demand; nor the decreases in housing affordability - especially whilst London continues to drive the strongest propensity to commute of any region in the UK.
The draft regional economic strategy attempts to stimulate a serious debate on this paradox. Far from being too high, our growth rates this decade are dangerously low in terms of the future international competitiveness and long-term standing of our region. Developing adjacent to a world city, probably most at risk of climate change and with the lowest per capita public spend of any UK region, requires us to formulate, and thereafter plan and manage a new high growth, sustainable model of development. Creating a new "virtuous circle" will require bold, single-minded and purposeful regional and local leadership. But first we must have that serious debate...
